Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003362 0.003751 0.004156 0.004609 0.005101 0.005617 0.006199
2024-10-20 0.002666 0.003202 0.003793 0.004488 0.005282 0.006155 0.007186
2024-10-27 0.002286 0.002900 0.003605 0.004468 0.005487 0.006646 0.008055
2024-11-03 0.001980 0.002636 0.003417 0.004403 0.005602 0.007003 0.008748
2024-11-10 0.001763 0.002451 0.003295 0.004392 0.005760 0.007394 0.009472
2024-11-17 0.001571 0.002275 0.003165 0.004351 0.005866 0.007711 0.010102
2024-11-24 0.001470 0.002205 0.003159 0.004457 0.006148 0.008244 0.011001
2024-12-01 0.001298 0.002025 0.002993 0.004344 0.006140 0.008405 0.011431
2024-12-08 0.001188 0.001918 0.002917 0.004338 0.006263 0.008729 0.012068
2024-12-15 0.001145 0.001905 0.002964 0.004498 0.006605 0.009338 0.013080
2024-12-22 0.001076 0.001845 0.002941 0.004558 0.006812 0.009773 0.013872
2024-12-29 0.001034 0.001823 0.002969 0.004686 0.007113 0.010335 0.014839
2025-01-05 0.000999 0.001811 0.003014 0.004842 0.007460 0.010973 0.015930
2025-01-12 0.000891 0.001675 0.002867 0.004715 0.007406 0.011069 0.016299
2025-01-19 0.000820 0.001594 0.002796 0.004694 0.007498 0.011361 0.016933
2025-01-26 0.000745 0.001499 0.002697 0.004626 0.007518 0.011550 0.017426
2025-02-02 0.000689 0.001433 0.002640 0.004614 0.007617 0.011848 0.018073
2025-02-09 0.000632 0.001359 0.002565 0.004572 0.007666 0.012076 0.018622
2025-02-16 0.000610 0.001346 0.002588 0.004682 0.007945 0.012634 0.019642
2025-02-23 0.000547 0.001252 0.002471 0.004565 0.007874 0.012686 0.019947
2025-03-02 0.000509 0.001202 0.002425 0.004559 0.007972 0.012982 0.020601
2025-03-09 0.000502 0.001212 0.002484 0.004724 0.008338 0.013675 0.021836
2025-03-16 0.000479 0.001189 0.002481 0.004787 0.008543 0.014135 0.022740